TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153877
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Lukas Zeman
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 56.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 4–5 Lukas Zeman Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1951 vs Zeman 1821
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Zeman 60%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 70% vs Zeman 50%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +3 · Zeman -1
Opanasiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.61 / Zeman 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Opanasiuk)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153877
Opanasiuk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 82 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it70% 54 of 77
Zeman2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk4wins
AwayZeman5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZeman leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk60%3 of 5
AwayZeman75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk5Zeman4n = 9Opanasiuk took 5 of 9
S2Opanasiuk7Zeman2n = 9Opanasiuk took 7 of 9
S3Opanasiuk4Zeman5n = 9Zeman took 5 of 9
S4Opanasiuk3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
S5Opanasiuk0Zeman3n = 3Zeman took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricOpanasiukZemanO − ZBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.037.8+1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 276 vs 253 / 50553.6%50.1%148 / 276 vs 253 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.61/Zeman 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 4 · 01:00D. Opanasiuk34811781L. Zeman4011711113
LJul 3 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk31131080L. Zeman381512113
WJul 2 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk4061112113L. Zeman361161091
WJul 2 · 09:29D. Opanasiuk4511149113L. Zeman399121171
LJul 2 · 06:00D. Opanasiuk46811111152L. Zeman51117139113
LJun 30 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk49111189102L. Zeman51891111123
LJun 30 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk4011611482L. Zeman45911311113
WJun 29 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk331111113L. Zeman228770
WJun 29 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk331111113L. Zeman184860
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192WSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113WSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113LSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113
L. Zeman10
WSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181LSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 12:30J. Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:30L. Zeman1.66138713113O. Kolisnyk2.051111111162LSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113WSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
Sep 19 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.67J. Cernik2.10—Sep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.44E. Mares2.63—Sep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73Z. Bilek2.00—Sep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.10J. Medek1.65—Sep 20 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk1.45E. Mares2.60—Sep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.65J. Cernik2.10—Sep 20 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.67J. Cernik2.10—Sep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.63J. Zajicek1.44—Sep 20 · 16:30D. Opanasiuk2.10J. Medek1.65—
L. Zeman
Nothing scheduled
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