TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13158784
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7117111012––––
Lukas Zeman
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 58 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 55.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 22–16 Lukas Zeman Lukas Zeman has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-16 in 38
Jr
Wrong
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1815 vs Zeman 1834
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Zeman 20%
Jr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Zeman 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zeman)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158784
Jr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zeman1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayZeman4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%6 of 9
AwayZemann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr9Zeman1n = 10Jr took 9 of 10
S2Jr5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Jr6Zeman4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S5Jr1Zeman2n = 3Zeman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrZemanJ − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.339.9+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 737 vs 252 / 50452.2%50%385 / 737 vs 252 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanJr 1.83/Zeman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 08:30J. Jr351110861L. Zeman4061211113
LMar 24 · 10:00J. Jr52812713122L. Zeman5711101111143
WMar 24 · 07:00J. Jr4111118113L. Zeman35981171
WFeb 28 · 21:00J. Jr43111110113L. Zeman36961291
WFeb 22 · 21:00J. Jr4011711113L. Zeman33511891
WFeb 11 · 09:00J. Jr491111115113L. Zeman4291361132
WFeb 2 · 10:00J. Jr4211119113L. Zeman36881191
LFeb 2 · 09:00J. Jr391114681L. Zeman4681611113
LJan 11 · 11:30J. Jr4511117972L. Zeman47681111113
WJan 2 · 15:00J. Jr3711411113L. Zeman27711541
J. Jr10
WSep 19 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk2.207101111102J. Jr1.61111299123WSep 19 · 11:00J. Jr2.3851111113L. Prikasky1.53114271LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542WSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113LSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113
L. Zeman10
LSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 11:30L. Zeman1.66138713113O. Kolisnyk2.051111111162LSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113LSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113WSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113WSep 13 · 09:30L. Zeman1.721111122113E. Mares2.0086141142WSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113
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