TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153746
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511114112117––
Libor Prikasky
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 62 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 60.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 2–5 Libor Prikasky Jan Mecl Jr has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Prikasky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Prikasky
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1797 vs Prikasky 1739
Jr
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Prikasky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Prikasky 30%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Prikasky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Prikasky) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.38 / Prikasky 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Prikasky)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153746
Jr2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Prikasky1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 83 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayPrikasky5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPrikasky leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrikasky100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Prikasky5n = 7Prikasky took 5 of 7
S2Jr4Prikasky3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S3Jr3Prikasky4n = 7Prikasky took 4 of 7
S4Jr0Prikasky4n = 4Prikasky took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricJrPrikaskyJ − PBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match33.339.0−5.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 737 vs 256 / 46252.2%55.4%385 / 737 vs 256 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyJr 2.38/Prikasky 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 25 · 06:00J. Jr2248100L. Prikasky341111123
WAug 24 · 12:00J. Jr331111113L. Prikasky208660
LJul 28 · 12:30J. Jr56915111562L. Prikasky611113917113
LJul 28 · 07:00J. Jr155370L. Prikasky331111113
LJul 15 · 06:00J. Jr25512531L. Prikasky43111011113
WJul 14 · 06:00J. Jr52121199113L. Prikasky41108111112
LJul 13 · 11:30J. Jr30591151L. Prikasky4111118113
J. Jr10
LSep 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk2.3815117113J. Jr1.531391181LSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542WSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113LSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 19 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk3.008960L. Prikasky1.361111113WSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 16 · 21:00L. Prikasky2.007790M. Navedla1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30L. Prikasky1.8335100M. Vavrecka1.831111123LSep 16 · 19:00L. Prikasky1.83111110972P. Wawrosz1.83981211113WSep 16 · 18:00M. Navedla1.671110711112L. Prikasky2.10812113133LSep 14 · 20:58M. Navedla1.73111111113L. Prikasky2.00931361LSep 14 · 20:30R. Niezgoda1.731111113L. Prikasky2.003750LSep 14 · 19:30L. Prikasky1.91612451M. Navedla1.80111011113WSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113
Upcoming Matches
J. Jr
L. Prikasky
Sep 19 · 14:00L. Prikasky1.61J. Kanera2.20—Sep 19 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.53F. Pusch2.38—Sep 19 · 16:00L. Prikasky1.36O. Kolisnyk3.00—Sep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky—F. Pusch——Sep 20 · 11:00L. Prikasky—J. Kanera——Sep 20 · 12:00L. Prikasky—M. Zahradka——Sep 20 · 14:30L. Prikasky—M. Zahradka——Sep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky—J. Jr——Sep 20 · 16:30L. Prikasky—R. Rose——
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