TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135921
Played Sep 16Finished
Libor Prikasky
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191181012911711
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Prikasky above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 99 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Libor Prikasky 5–5 Pavel Wawrosz Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Wawrosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prikasky 1766 vs Wawrosz 1703
Prikasky
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prikasky 40% vs Wawrosz 20%
Prikasky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prikasky 60% vs Wawrosz 40%
Prikasky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prikasky +1 · Wawrosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prikasky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrikasky 1.83 / Wawrosz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prikasky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135921
Prikasky1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Wawrosz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrikasky5wins
AwayWawrosz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrikasky80%4 of 5
AwayWawrosz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prikasky5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Prikasky5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Prikasky3Wawrosz7n = 10Wawrosz took 7 of 10
S4Prikasky6Wawrosz3n = 9Prikasky took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrikaskyWawroszP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.539.4−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrikaskyWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 458 vs 216 / 43055.7%50.2%255 / 458 vs 216 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrikaskyPrikasky 1.83/Wawrosz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prikasky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:00L. Prikasky4111136113P. Wawrosz409111191
WSep 5 · 08:30L. Prikasky3811115113P. Wawrosz31771161
LSep 4 · 12:30L. Prikasky33771271P. Wawrosz43111110113
LAug 26 · 16:00L. Prikasky29481161P. Wawrosz3811115113
WAug 12 · 19:30L. Prikasky48811711113P. Wawrosz4211611592
WAug 9 · 11:30L. Prikasky4311129113P. Wawrosz389101181
LAug 8 · 18:00L. Prikasky29129441P. Wawrosz43101111113
WAug 6 · 19:30L. Prikasky43111011113P. Wawrosz34912761
LJun 1 · 07:30L. Prikasky4891191182P. Wawrosz49118118113
LMay 31 · 15:00L. Prikasky2312380P. Wawrosz361411113
L. Prikasky10
WSep 16 · 18:00M. Navedla1.671110711112L. Prikasky2.10812113133LSep 14 · 20:58M. Navedla1.73111111113L. Prikasky2.00931361LSep 14 · 20:30R. Niezgoda1.731111113L. Prikasky2.003750LSep 14 · 19:30L. Prikasky1.91612451M. Navedla1.80111011113WSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113LSep 12 · 09:30L. Prikasky1.9171191112L. Velebil1.80117116113WSep 12 · 08:30L. Prikasky2.1011811113L. Velebil1.67711971WSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061WSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 9 · 17:00M. Skotnica1.61101111852L. Prikasky2.20129611113
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 16 · 20:00M. Navedla1.9161171112P. Wawrosz1.80119113113WSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 14 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.781211511113P. Wawrosz1.9314811692LSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz1.831146101R. Polasek1.8391111123LSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.531111910123P. Wawrosz2.38671112102LSep 14 · 09:30P. Wawrosz1.85117381R. Polasek1.8551111113WSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113WSep 14 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.737111191P. Wawrosz2.0011139113LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113
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