TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126504
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
141213111210––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 72 set 3, 12-10
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 6–1 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.30 / Koubek 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Cernik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126504
Cernik1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 83 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Koubek3.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeCernik6wins
AwayKoubek1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderCernik leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik100%5 of 5
AwayKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S2Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S3Cernik5Koubek2n = 7Cernik took 5 of 7
S4Cernik1Koubek2n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricCernikKoubekC − KBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.332.6+5.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 330 vs 192 / 37859.4%50.8%196 / 330 vs 192 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.30/Koubek 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 14:30J. Cernik48911116113V. Koubek4211981132
WMay 17 · 16:30J. Cernik421111203V. Koubek3286180
WDec 26 · 15:30J. Cernik531181310113V. Koubek40511111212
WDec 26 · 11:30J. Cernik331111113V. Koubek269890
WDec 25 · 09:00J. Cernik4011117113V. Koubek35791181
LJul 20 · 07:30J. Cernik199550V. Koubek331111113
WJul 3 · 15:30J. Cernik331111113V. Koubek205690
J. Cernik10
LSep 13 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.531111113J. Cernik2.388770LSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132WSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Zeman3.004380J. Cernik1.361111113LSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630
V. Koubek10
LSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113
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