TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120206
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114911113119––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 69 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 62.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 34–25 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 25 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-25 in 59
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 9 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1888 vs Koubek 1834
Zajicek
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 60% vs Koubek 20%
Zajicek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Koubek 10%
Zajicek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +1 · Koubek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.50 / Koubek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zajicek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120206
Zajicek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 101 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Koubek2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek8wins
AwayKoubek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek87.5%7 of 8
AwayKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek8Koubek2n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S2Zajicek8Koubek2n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S3Zajicek7Koubek3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Zajicek2Koubek1n = 3Zajicek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekKoubekZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.828.5+8.3per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 650 vs 192 / 37852.6%50.8%342 / 650 vs 192 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.50/Koubek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 20:30J. Zajicek331111113V. Koubek197390
LSep 7 · 17:29J. Zajicek2791080V. Koubek341112113
LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek4611127882V. Koubek529101111113
WAug 25 · 16:59J. Zajicek331111113V. Koubek259790
WAug 25 · 16:30J. Zajicek391112163V. Koubek28410140
WAug 11 · 20:30J. Zajicek351211123V. Koubek22102100
WJun 23 · 17:30J. Zajicek351311113V. Koubek2311660
WJun 23 · 15:30J. Zajicek50911811113V. Koubek3111611122
WJun 2 · 14:30J. Zajicek3611311113V. Koubek29411861
WMay 31 · 21:09J. Zajicek341112113V. Koubek2261060
J. Zajicek10
LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132LSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100LSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950WSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.401111113J. Vales2.756890LSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek1.7391111113J. Zajicek2.00116951LSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:30J. Zajicek1.4011119133J. Vales2.753911111LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113
V. Koubek10
LSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113
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