TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154226
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1145111156111012
Zdenek Bilek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Zdenek Bilek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 86 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 2–2 Zdenek Bilek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1963 vs Bilek 1754
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Bilek 0%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Bilek 30%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +4 · Bilek -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.73 / Bilek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154226
Opanasiuk1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 82 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it70% 54 of 77
Bilek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk2wins
AwayBilek2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk2Bilek2n = 4split evenly
S2Opanasiuk3Bilek1n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S3Opanasiuk3Bilek1n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S4Opanasiuk1Bilek2n = 3Bilek took 2 of 3
S5Opanasiuk1Bilek2n = 3Bilek took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricOpanasiukBilekO − BBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.244.8+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukBilekBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 281 vs 176 / 34054.1%51.8%152 / 281 vs 176 / 340Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.73/Bilek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bilek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 20 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk401111183Z. Bilek3086160
LJul 2 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk49111112782Z. Bilek501351011113
WJun 30 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk471141110113Z. Bilek4791191262
LJun 27 · 24:00D. Opanasiuk4581441182Z. Bilek521112117113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113LSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123WSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113
Z. Bilek10
WSep 19 · 21:00Z. Bilek2.302411169113E. Mares1.55268141182LSep 19 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.7511196812J. Cernik1.407171111113LSep 19 · 18:30E. Mares1.67111112123Z. Bilek2.109814101LSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141LSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.10615112272E. Mares1.671117920113LSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122
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