TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13161572
Played Sep 19Finished
Zdenek Bilek
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
24261181614911118
Erik Mares
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingZdenek Bilek above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 24-26
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 138 set 5, 11-8
138 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Bilek 35–52 Erik Mares Zdenek Bilek has won 35 of their 87 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mares beat Bilek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilek 2.30 / Mares 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Mares)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161572
Bilek2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Mares1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it88% 91 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it72% 118 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilek5wins
AwayMares5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilek75%3 of 4
AwayMares66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilek4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Bilek2Mares8n = 10Mares took 8 of 10
S3Bilek6Mares4n = 10Bilek took 6 of 10
S4Bilek4Mares4n = 8split evenly
S5Bilek4Mares2n = 6Bilek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilekMaresB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.944.6−0.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilekMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 341 vs 604 / 120151.9%50.3%177 / 341 vs 604 / 1201Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresBilek 2.30/Mares 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bilek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 18:30Z. Bilek419814101E. Mares46111112123
LSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek61615112272E. Mares681117920113
LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek4311911482E. Mares43311711113
WAug 30 · 10:00Z. Bilek3711114113E. Mares29961131
LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2110380E. Mares341211113
WAug 8 · 13:00Z. Bilek6011111610123E. Mares50551812102
LAug 8 · 10:00Z. Bilek239950E. Mares331111113
WJun 30 · 21:00Z. Bilek506101112113E. Mares46111281052
WJun 30 · 19:30Z. Bilek48671211123E. Mares511111109102
WJun 27 · 02:30Z. Bilek5511111111113E. Mares4691341372
Z. Bilek10
WSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123LSep 19 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.7511196812J. Cernik1.407171111113LSep 19 · 18:30E. Mares1.67111112123Z. Bilek2.109814101LSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141LSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.10615112272E. Mares1.671117920113LSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122
E. Mares10
LSep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61121166113E. Mares2.20108111182LSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:30E. Mares1.67111112123Z. Bilek2.109814101WSep 19 · 17:30L. Zeman1.83118151192E. Mares1.831311138113LSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113WSep 19 · 15:00E. Mares2.25111191113J. Cernik1.5796111142WSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.10615112272E. Mares1.671117920113WAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113
Upcoming Matches
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E. Mares
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