TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129100
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115119––––
Zdenek Bilek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:51 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Bilek to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Zdenek Bilek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-7
Point 52 set 3, 9-7 — our read held Zdenek Bilek at 60.0%
52 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 19–21 Zdenek Bilek Vojtech Koubek has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:51What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Koubek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-21 in 40
Bilek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1812 vs Bilek 1778
Koubek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 20% vs Bilek 60%
Bilek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 10% vs Bilek 40%
Bilek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek -4 · Bilek -1
Koubek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koubek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 1.80 / Bilek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koubek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129100
Koubek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite52% won 33 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Bilek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 32 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek4wins
AwayBilek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBilek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubek75%3 of 4
AwayBilek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek4Bilek6n = 10Bilek took 6 of 10
S2Koubek5Bilek5n = 10split evenly
S3Koubek8Bilek2n = 10Koubek took 8 of 10
S4Koubek2Bilek5n = 7Bilek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekBilekK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.0+0.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekBilekBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 380 vs 187 / 35750.5%52.4%192 / 380 vs 187 / 357Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekKoubek 1.80/Bilek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 5 · 18:28V. Koubek341211113Z. Bilek2210930
WMar 5 · 15:30V. Koubek3961111113Z. Bilek31119291
LJan 31 · 17:00V. Koubek4391311101Z. Bilek4111153123
WJan 29 · 22:26V. Koubek361111143Z. Bilek2493120
LJan 29 · 21:00V. Koubek25118241Z. Bilek3741111113
LDec 30 · 22:30V. Koubek31581171Z. Bilek3711114113
LDec 30 · 21:00V. Koubek369114121Z. Bilek4311711143
LOct 1 · 17:30V. Koubek367711111Z. Bilek4311118133
WOct 1 · 15:00V. Koubek331111113Z. Bilek184860
LSep 9 · 14:30V. Koubek4597141142Z. Bilek541111129113
V. Koubek10
LSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560LSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133
Z. Bilek10
LSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141LSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.10615112272E. Mares1.671117920113LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113LAug 15 · 02:30L. Zeman2.3813511113Z. Bilek1.531111941LAug 15 · 01:00T. Postelt2.631111710113Z. Bilek1.4486111292LAug 14 · 23:30Z. Bilek1.801171091M. Kratochvil1.9181112113LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113
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