TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135960
Played Sep 16Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411119711711––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:47 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Josef Medek at 67.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 27–16 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 16 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Medek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-16 in 43
Medek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 2011 vs Koubek 1807
Medek
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 80% vs Koubek 60%
Medek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 70% vs Koubek 40%
Medek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek -1 · Koubek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Medek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.44 / Koubek 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Medek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135960
Medek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 112 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Koubek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 34 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek7wins
AwayKoubek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKoubek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek6Koubek4n = 10Medek took 6 of 10
S2Medek5Koubek5n = 10split evenly
S3Medek5Koubek5n = 10split evenly
S4Medek7Koubek3n = 10Medek took 7 of 10
S5Medek3Koubek2n = 5Medek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekKoubekM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.137.2+4.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime297 / 511 vs 192 / 38158.1%50.4%297 / 511 vs 192 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.44/Koubek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 19:00J. Medek4011117113V. Koubek35981171
LSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek50711911122V. Koubek43114113143
LSep 1 · 14:28J. Medek29681141V. Koubek3911116113
WAug 25 · 15:30J. Medek49712118113V. Koubek43111091122
WAug 11 · 18:30J. Medek40115112113V. Koubek3741161152
LJun 23 · 16:30J. Medek45116101172V. Koubek51911128113
WJun 2 · 15:30J. Medek4181111113V. Koubek23113631
WMay 31 · 20:00J. Medek4011126113V. Koubek368101171
WMay 24 · 16:30J. Medek3911611113V. Koubek28411671
WMay 19 · 15:30J. Medek48119611113V. Koubek3771111442
J. Medek10
LSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950WSep 7 · 20:00J. Vales2.63641181J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek1.7391111113J. Zajicek2.00116951WSep 7 · 16:59J. Medek1.4491111113J. Vales2.63116871LSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:30J. Vales2.7511139562J. Medek1.406111111113LSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690
V. Koubek10
WSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462WSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560WSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143
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