TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134918
Played Sep 16Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511711114116
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 60.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 25–35 Jan Zajicek Vojtech Koubek has won 25 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-35 in 60
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1807 vs Zajicek 1885
Zajicek
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 40% vs Zajicek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 30% vs Zajicek 50%
Zajicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek +1 · Zajicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 2.50 / Zajicek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Zajicek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134918
Koubek2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 34 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Zajicek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 101 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 80 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek2wins
AwayZajicek8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZajicek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek2Zajicek8n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S2Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S3Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Koubek1Zajicek3n = 4Zajicek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekZajicekK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.037.6−8.6per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 384 vs 343 / 65250.5%52.6%194 / 384 vs 343 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekKoubek 2.50/Zajicek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:30V. Koubek27411391J. Zajicek4211911113
LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek197390J. Zajicek331111113
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek341112113J. Zajicek2791080
WSep 7 · 15:00V. Koubek529101111113J. Zajicek4611127882
LAug 25 · 16:59V. Koubek259790J. Zajicek331111113
LAug 25 · 16:30V. Koubek28410140J. Zajicek391112163
LAug 11 · 20:30V. Koubek22102100J. Zajicek351211123
LJun 23 · 17:30V. Koubek2311660J. Zajicek351311113
LJun 23 · 15:30V. Koubek3111611122J. Zajicek50911811113
LJun 2 · 14:30V. Koubek29411861J. Zajicek3611311113
V. Koubek10
WSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113WSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560WSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391LSep 13 · 19:30V. Koubek3.759650L. Boruvka1.251111113LSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123
J. Zajicek10
LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391WSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132LSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100LSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950WSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.401111113J. Vales2.756890LSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek1.7391111113J. Zajicek2.00116951LSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080
Upcoming Matches
V. Koubek
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J. Zajicek
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