TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
23251113911––––
Josef Medek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Josef Medek below
Set 1 · 23-25
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 92 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Josef Medek at 58.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 94–137 Josef Medek Jan Zajicek has won 94 of their 231 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Medek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
94-137 in 231
Medek
Correct
gap of 43 in 231, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1878 vs Medek 1938
Medek
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 20% vs Medek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 40% vs Medek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +1 · Medek -3
Medek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 2.10 / Medek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Medek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158850
Zajicek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Medek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek3wins
AwayMedek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek42.9%3 of 7
AwayMedek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek7Medek3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Zajicek1Medek9n = 10Medek took 9 of 10
S3Zajicek1Medek9n = 10Medek took 9 of 10
S4Zajicek2Medek5n = 7Medek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekMedekZ − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.938.6−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekMedekBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 639 vs 300 / 51652.3%58.1%334 / 639 vs 300 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekZajicek 2.10/Medek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 20:58J. Zajicek501161111113J. Medek3871113432
LSep 16 · 20:30J. Zajicek35118791J. Medek4291111113
LSep 7 · 21:30J. Zajicek173950J. Medek331111113
LSep 7 · 18:30J. Zajicek31116951J. Medek4291111113
WSep 7 · 14:00J. Zajicek49139115113J. Medek47111171172
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Zajicek205690J. Medek331111113
WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek4211116143J. Medek409811121
LSep 5 · 12:30J. Zajicek259970J. Medek331111113
LSep 4 · 20:30J. Zajicek31117671J. Medek3961111113
LSep 2 · 18:00J. Zajicek391191091J. Medek3951112113
J. Zajicek10
WSep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.506880J. Zajicek1.501111113WSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113LSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391WSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132LSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100LSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950
J. Medek10
WSep 20 · 15:00J. Medek2.10111112133J. Cernik1.675514111LSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Medek1.50610111172E. Mares2.50111259113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113LSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950
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