TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111113––––
Josef Medek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Josef Medek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 62 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 59.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 3–2 Josef Medek Josef Medek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Medek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1966 vs Medek 1961
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Medek 40%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Medek 60%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +1 · Medek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 2.10 / Medek 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Medek)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158851
Opanasiuk2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog54% won 44 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Medek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk3wins
AwayMedek2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%3 of 3
AwayMedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk3Medek2n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S2Opanasiuk0Medek5n = 5Medek took 5 of 5
S3Opanasiuk4Medek1n = 5Opanasiuk took 4 of 5
S4Opanasiuk2Medek3n = 5Medek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOpanasiukMedekO − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.240.6+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukMedekBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 283 vs 298 / 51454.1%58%153 / 283 vs 298 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekOpanasiuk 2.10/Medek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 21 · 21:05D. Opanasiuk31891131J. Medek4011117113
WJul 21 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk52116168113J. Medek53811141192
WJul 20 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk47114911123J. Medek44811114102
WJul 20 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk43111011113J. Medek25512171
LJul 2 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk33991141J. Medek4111118113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690LSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113LSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123WSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133
J. Medek10
LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113LSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950WSep 7 · 20:00J. Vales2.63641181J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek1.7391111113J. Zajicek2.00116951WSep 7 · 16:59J. Medek1.4491111113J. Vales2.63116871LSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143
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