TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811811––––
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:30 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 63.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 1–7 Jan Zajicek Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:30What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1939 vs Zajicek 1843
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 60% vs Zajicek 20%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 70% vs Zajicek 30%
Opanasiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +3 · Zajicek -1
Opanasiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 2.50 / Zajicek 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159844
Opanasiuk2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 44 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Zajicek1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 100 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 79 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk1wins
AwayZajicek7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderZajicek leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZajicek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk1Zajicek7n = 8Zajicek took 7 of 8
S2Opanasiuk2Zajicek6n = 8Zajicek took 6 of 8
S3Opanasiuk3Zajicek5n = 8Zajicek took 5 of 8
S4Opanasiuk2Zajicek4n = 6Zajicek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricOpanasiukZajicekO − ZBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match32.941.1−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 288 vs 334 / 63854.2%52.4%156 / 288 vs 334 / 638Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekOpanasiuk 2.50/Zajicek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 21 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk176290J. Zajicek331111113
LJul 20 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk29651171J. Zajicek4011117113
WJul 20 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk569101312123J. Zajicek5411121110102
LJul 20 · 17:30D. Opanasiuk4111771152J. Zajicek43311117113
LJul 20 · 15:00D. Opanasiuk331181131J. Zajicek3913114113
LJul 4 · 02:30D. Opanasiuk228590J. Zajicek331111113
LJul 2 · 21:07D. Opanasiuk30912541J. Zajicek43111011113
LJul 2 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk351111851J. Zajicek4413911113
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 20 · 16:30J. Medek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.836940WSep 20 · 14:30J. Cernik2.505650D. Opanasiuk1.501111113WSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052LSep 20 · 11:30E. Mares2.751111113D. Opanasiuk1.406790LSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690LSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113
J. Zajicek10
WSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100LSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113WSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113LSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391WSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132LSep 13 · 18:00L. Boruvka1.171111123J. Zajicek4.5055100
Upcoming Matches
D. Opanasiuk
Nothing scheduled
J. Zajicek
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