TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611511––––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 0–9 Dmytro Opanasiuk Jan Cernik has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Opanasiuk beat Cernik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Opanasiuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1939 vs Opanasiuk 1924
Cernik
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 40% vs Opanasiuk 60%
Opanasiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 40% vs Opanasiuk 70%
Opanasiuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -2 · Opanasiuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.50 / Opanasiuk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159947
Cernik2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Opanasiuk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 88 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it71% 59 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeCernik0wins
AwayOpanasiuk9wins
3 of 9 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 9–0, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik0%0 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik3Opanasiuk6n = 9Opanasiuk took 6 of 9
S2Cernik4Opanasiuk5n = 9Opanasiuk took 5 of 9
S3Cernik1Opanasiuk8n = 9Opanasiuk took 8 of 9
S4Cernik1Opanasiuk5n = 6Opanasiuk took 5 of 6
S5Cernik0Opanasiuk3n = 3Opanasiuk took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricCernikOpanasiukC − OBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match32.842.0−9.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 343 vs 155 / 28758.9%54%202 / 343 vs 155 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukCernik 2.50/Opanasiuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 12:00J. Cernik41121131052D. Opanasiuk511071112113
LSep 19 · 21:30J. Cernik3271690D. Opanasiuk401118113
LSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik35881181D. Opanasiuk4211119113
LSep 19 · 17:01J. Cernik207760D. Opanasiuk331111113
LSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik321112541D. Opanasiuk4481411113
LJul 19 · 11:30J. Cernik3711113662D. Opanasiuk50891111113
LJul 15 · 23:00J. Cernik344117121D. Opanasiuk4411811143
LJul 15 · 16:00J. Cernik189360D. Opanasiuk331111113
LJul 10 · 14:30J. Cernik4661191192D. Opanasiuk41112116113
J. Cernik10
LSep 20 · 15:00J. Medek2.10111112133J. Cernik1.675514111LSep 20 · 13:30J. Cernik1.55111411862E. Mares2.30816911113LSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052WSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:30J. Cernik1.611311113E. Mares2.2011980LSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690WSep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61121166113E. Mares2.20108111182WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.7511196812J. Cernik1.407171111113LSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113LSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052LSep 20 · 11:30E. Mares2.751111113D. Opanasiuk1.406790LSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690LSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113
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