TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3113111161210511
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 83 set 5, 5-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 3–3 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Medek beat Opanasiuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Medek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.57 / Opanasiuk 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Medek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164364
Medek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it80% 79 of 99
Opanasiuk2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 44 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMedek3wins
AwayOpanasiuk3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%3 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek3Opanasiuk3n = 6split evenly
S2Medek6Opanasiuk0n = 6Medek took 6 of 6
S3Medek2Opanasiuk4n = 6Opanasiuk took 4 of 6
S4Medek3Opanasiuk2n = 5Medek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMedekOpanasiukM − OBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.738.8+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 515 vs 154 / 28658.3%53.9%300 / 515 vs 154 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.57/Opanasiuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 10:00J. Medek351111133D. Opanasiuk2779110
WJul 21 · 21:05J. Medek4011117113D. Opanasiuk31891131
LJul 21 · 20:00J. Medek53811141192D. Opanasiuk52116168113
LJul 20 · 19:00J. Medek44811114102D. Opanasiuk47114911123
LJul 20 · 16:00J. Medek25512171D. Opanasiuk43111011113
WJul 2 · 18:00J. Medek4111118113D. Opanasiuk33991141
J. Medek10
LSep 20 · 12:30J. Medek1.50610111172E. Mares2.50111259113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113LSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950WSep 7 · 20:00J. Vales2.63641181J. Medek1.4411117113WSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052LSep 20 · 11:30E. Mares2.751111113D. Opanasiuk1.406790LSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690LSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123WSep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.441413113E. Mares2.63121170WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113LSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123
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