TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13158925
Played Sep 19Finished
Olena Bondareva
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119114––––
Viktoria Shevchuk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:16 and never touched — 74.1% is still 74.1%
Graded at full timeViktoria Shevchuk to win
74.1%
74.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOlena Bondareva above · Viktoria Shevchuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 57 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Viktoria Shevchuk at 74.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Olena Bondareva 7–12 Viktoria Shevchuk Olena Bondareva has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Shevchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Shevchuk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondareva 1405 vs Shevchuk 1632
Shevchuk
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondareva 20% vs Shevchuk 40%
Shevchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondareva 20% vs Shevchuk 60%
Shevchuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondareva +1 · Shevchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Shevchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shevchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondareva 3.25 / Shevchuk 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Shevchuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13158925
Bondareva3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 24 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 42
Shevchuk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 87 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it82% 73 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondareva3wins
AwayShevchuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShevchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondareva33.3%1 of 3
AwayShevchuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondareva3Shevchuk7n = 10Shevchuk took 7 of 10
S2Bondareva2Shevchuk8n = 10Shevchuk took 8 of 10
S3Bondareva4Shevchuk6n = 10Shevchuk took 6 of 10
S4Bondareva4Shevchuk2n = 6Bondareva took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarevaShevchukB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.1−5.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarevaShevchukBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 290 vs 164 / 28539.3%57.5%114 / 290 vs 164 / 285Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShevchukBondareva 3.25/Shevchuk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.3%
Shevchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bondareva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 20 · 16:05O. Bondareva259790V. Shevchuk331111113
LAug 14 · 19:05O. Bondareva4011711742V. Shevchuk46711611113
WAug 8 · 18:03O. Bondareva4211911113V. Shevchuk31711491
LAug 8 · 15:35O. Bondareva30112891V. Shevchuk4291111113
LAug 2 · 18:05O. Bondareva229760V. Shevchuk331111113
LJul 10 · 15:05O. Bondareva4171191132V. Shevchuk49119117113
WJul 3 · 14:05O. Bondareva4281112113V. Shevchuk341171061
LMay 30 · 17:05O. Bondareva248970V. Shevchuk331111113
LApr 26 · 19:05O. Bondareva238690V. Shevchuk331111113
O. Bondareva10
WSep 19 · 16:05A. Volgina1.531110841O. Bondareva2.3891211113LSep 19 · 14:05K. Bondarenko1.28611812113O. Bondareva3.50115111072LSep 19 · 13:05A. Lapa1.3312311113O. Bondareva3.251011741LSep 6 · 19:05O. Ivchenko1.2231113113O. Bondareva4.001171191LSep 6 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.221111113O. Bondareva4.0067100LSep 6 · 16:35A. Gorchakova1.281112103O. Bondareva3.5071070WSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123LAug 29 · 18:35O. Bondareva3.251166101K. Bondarenko1.3391111102LAug 29 · 14:05O. Bondareva4.00127591O. Ivchenko1.22101111113LAug 29 · 12:35O. Bondareva4.00111144152M. Gordeets1.22881111173
V. Shevchuk10
LSep 19 · 19:05A. Volgina1.831111113V. Shevchuk1.837870WSep 19 · 16:35A. Lapa3.4081112872V. Shevchuk1.301181011113LSep 19 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.831111123V. Shevchuk1.8378100LSep 19 · 12:35K. Bondarenko1.611111113V. Shevchuk2.2075100WSep 12 · 19:05A. Volgina1.8011881292V. Shevchuk1.918111110113LSep 12 · 18:05M. Gordeets1.73117811113V. Shevchuk2.0041111882LSep 12 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko6.0012148113V. Shevchuk1.1110121191WSep 12 · 14:35O. Ivchenko1.8091181172V. Shevchuk1.9111611783WSep 12 · 12:35A. Gorchakova3.75131511852V. Shevchuk1.251117511113LSep 6 · 14:35V. Shevchuk1.3011116612O. Bondareva3.4085111123
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