TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154996
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141148111210––
Ihor Kvak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 1–3 Ihor Kvak Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:22What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kvak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kvak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1456 vs Kvak 1466
Kvak
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Kvak 40%
Kvak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Kvak 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -4 · Kvak +1
Sydorchuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 1.83 / Kvak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13154996
Sydorchuk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kvak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 05) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwayKvak3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKvak leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKvak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Kvak3n = 4Kvak took 3 of 4
S2Sydorchuk3Kvak1n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S3Sydorchuk3Kvak1n = 4Sydorchuk took 3 of 4
S4Sydorchuk0Kvak3n = 3Kvak took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSydorchukKvakS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.333.7−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 303 vs 32 / 5952.8%54.2%160 / 303 vs 32 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukSydorchuk 1.83/Kvak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 12 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk331111113I. Kvak199550
LJul 11 · 13:55O. Sydorchuk31471191I. Kvak4211119113
LJun 27 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk336115111I. Kvak4011511133
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070LSep 18 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk2.201211911112D. Palii1.61149115133LSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123WSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690
I. Kvak10
WSep 19 · 13:55I. Kvak1.671111113M. Slozka2.109680WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113
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