TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148618
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141199111151113
Dmytro Palii
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 57.7%
106 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 1–2 Dmytro Palii Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Palii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1483 vs Palii 1518
Palii
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Palii 60%
Palii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 50% vs Palii 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Palii +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Palii) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.20 / Palii 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Palii)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148618
Sydorchuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Palii1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite35% won 7 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it50% 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwayPalii2wins
Palii leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk2Palii1n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
S2Sydorchuk1Palii2n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S3Sydorchuk0Palii3n = 3Palii took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSydorchukPaliiS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.038.3−6.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 301 vs 106 / 18453.2%57.6%160 / 301 vs 106 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiSydorchuk 2.20/Palii 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk4211155113D. Palii408131181
LFeb 8 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk248790D. Palii331111113
LFeb 7 · 13:55O. Sydorchuk30119551D. Palii4291111113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123WSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192
D. Palii10
LSep 19 · 24:15D. Palii2.00122881M. Slozka1.73101111113WSep 18 · 22:15S. Prus2.101141061D. Palii1.6751112113WSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163LSep 12 · 10:25D. Palii1.57121165132S. Prus2.251081111153LSep 12 · 08:55D. Palii1.67111110882V. Kuzmych2.10371211113WSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971LSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181
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