Volodymyr Korobko vs Dmytro Palii 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13148863

Played Sep 18Finished

Volodymyr Korobko

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

13151179111416––

Dmytro Palii

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Dmytro Palii to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Dmytro Palii below

Set 1 · 13-15

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 14-16

Point 96 set 4, 14-16 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 54.0%

96 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:09

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Korobko

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Korobko 1471 vs Palii 1499

Palii

Correct

both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Korobko 40% vs Palii 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Korobko 40% vs Palii 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Korobko +1 · Palii -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korobko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Korobko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKorobko 1.73 / Palii 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Korobko)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13148863

Korobko1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite46% won 35 of 76

Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36

Palii2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog46% won 15 of 33

Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKorobkoPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 472 vs 106 / 18644.7%57%211 / 472 vs 106 / 186Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.536.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Korobko

Korobko 1.73/Palii 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Korobko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Palii won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Korobko10