TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148875
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210211811811––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 4–6 Mykola Slozka Dmytro Palii has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Slozka
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1527 vs Slozka 1613
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii +3 · Slozka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.00 / Slozka 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Slozka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148875
Palii2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 15 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Slozka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 65 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePalii4wins
AwaySlozka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalii50%2 of 4
AwaySlozka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Palii6Slozka4n = 10Palii took 6 of 10
S3Palii6Slozka4n = 10Palii took 6 of 10
S4Palii4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaliiSlozkaP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.437.1−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 185 vs 336 / 75757.8%44.4%107 / 185 vs 336 / 757Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPalii 2.00/Slozka 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii4181111113M. Slozka31114971
LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii3741111652M. Slozka50118911113
LSep 10 · 21:45D. Palii28681131M. Slozka4211119113
LJun 13 · 07:25D. Palii239590M. Slozka331111113
WJun 12 · 13:55D. Palii4181111113M. Slozka24114451
LJun 11 · 23:45D. Palii4011831172M. Slozka50911118113
WFeb 21 · 19:55D. Palii3311110113M. Slozka30481171
LFeb 15 · 07:55D. Palii438151191M. Slozka48111313113
WFeb 7 · 19:55D. Palii331111113M. Slozka269980
D. Palii10
WSep 18 · 23:15O. Sydorchuk2.201211911112D. Palii1.61149115133WSep 18 · 22:15S. Prus2.101141061D. Palii1.6751112113WSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163LSep 12 · 10:25D. Palii1.57121165132S. Prus2.251081111153LSep 12 · 08:55D. Palii1.67111110882V. Kuzmych2.10371211113WSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971LSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113
M. Slozka10
WSep 18 · 22:45V. Korobko2.0011111091M. Slozka1.7391312113WSep 18 · 21:15S. Prus2.509540M. Slozka1.501111113WSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123LSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771LSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113
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