TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148578
Played Sep 18Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11911131012911––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 86 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 56.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 30–20 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 20 of their 50 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-20 in 50
Korobko
Wrong
gap of 10 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1472 vs Slozka 1605
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 40% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +1 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 2.00 / Slozka 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Slozka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148578
Korobko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Slozka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 65 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko3wins
AwaySlozka7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlozka87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S2Korobko3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S3Korobko6Slozka4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S4Korobko3Slozka3n = 6split evenly
S5Korobko1Slozka2n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoSlozkaK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.336.6−5.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 467 vs 335 / 75644.8%44.3%209 / 467 vs 335 / 756Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKorobko 2.00/Slozka 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 20:30V. Korobko43511111152M. Slozka49119135113
LAug 27 · 23:15V. Korobko135440M. Slozka331111113
WAug 23 · 08:55V. Korobko3711312113M. Slozka377111091
WAug 8 · 01:15V. Korobko331111113M. Slozka215880
LJun 8 · 02:00V. Korobko206770M. Slozka331111113
LJun 4 · 22:45V. Korobko291151121M. Slozka4213117113
LMay 29 · 24:15V. Korobko184770M. Slozka331111113
LMay 25 · 01:00V. Korobko4295111162M. Slozka46111149113
LMay 14 · 23:15V. Korobko30551191M. Slozka3511112113
WMay 8 · 02:15V. Korobko48611119113M. Slozka3711451162
V. Korobko10
WSep 18 · 23:45S. Prus2.257131281V. Korobko1.57111510113WSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163WSep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.735680V. Korobko2.001111113LSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113LSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113WSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113
M. Slozka10
WSep 19 · 24:15D. Palii2.00122881M. Slozka1.73101111113WSep 18 · 21:15S. Prus2.509540M. Slozka1.501111113WSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123LSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771LSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113
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