TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148674
Played Sep 18Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71113151210811––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 87 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 56.6%
87 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Korobko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Prus 1393 vs Korobko 1464
Korobko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 20% vs Korobko 40%
Korobko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 20% vs Korobko 40%
Korobko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -2 · Korobko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Korobko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.25 / Korobko 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Korobko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148674
Prus2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back19% 7 of 37
Korobko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 35 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 407 vs 209 / 46847.4%44.7%193 / 407 vs 209 / 468Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoPrus 2.25/Korobko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Korobko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Prus10
WSep 19 · 24:45S. Prus1.911212113O. Sydorchuk1.80101070LSep 18 · 22:15S. Prus2.101141061D. Palii1.6751112113LSep 18 · 21:15S. Prus2.509540M. Slozka1.501111113WSep 12 · 10:25D. Palii1.57121165132S. Prus2.251081111153LSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123WSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143LSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113
V. Korobko10
LSep 18 · 22:45V. Korobko2.0011111091M. Slozka1.7391312113WSep 18 · 21:45O. Sydorchuk1.91711412112V. Korobko1.801181110133LSep 18 · 20:45V. Korobko1.7313119141D. Palii2.0015711163WSep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.735680V. Korobko2.001111113LSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113LSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113WSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 12 · 24:45M. Potapov1.25115541V. Korobko3.7581111113
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