TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148273
Played Sep 18Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511411––––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 66.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 9–12 Mykola Slozka Serhii Prus has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Slozka
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1409 vs Slozka 1597
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 40% vs Slozka 20%
Prus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.50 / Slozka 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Slozka)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148273
Prus2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back19% 7 of 37
Slozka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 65 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 52 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus1wins
AwaySlozka9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus20%1 of 5
AwaySlozka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S2Prus1Slozka9n = 10Slozka took 9 of 10
S3Prus6Slozka3n = 9Prus took 6 of 9
S4Prus1Slozka8n = 9Slozka took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusSlozkaP − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.242.8−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 414 vs 334 / 75547.3%44.2%196 / 414 vs 334 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPrus 2.50/Slozka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus41113114122M. Slozka46311711143
LSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus367101181M. Slozka4211128113
LSep 11 · 24:45S. Prus23111381M. Slozka4291111113
WSep 6 · 10:25S. Prus45111211113M. Slozka38814881
LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus28571151M. Slozka3811115113
LSep 4 · 21:45S. Prus4010911101M. Slozka4312118123
LAug 2 · 05:55S. Prus4511611892M. Slozka49711911113
LJul 31 · 23:15S. Prus341011851M. Slozka4312911113
LJun 27 · 05:55S. Prus341161251M. Slozka4481114113
S. Prus10
WSep 12 · 10:25D. Palii1.57121165132S. Prus2.251081111153LSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 08:25S. Prus3.007711101T. Gil1.3611119123WSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143LSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113LSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113LSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113
M. Slozka10
WSep 18 · 20:15O. Sydorchuk2.2573100M. Slozka1.571111123LSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771LSep 12 · 09:55M. Slozka2.0012911852T. Gil1.731011711113LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080
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