TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154185
Played Sep 19Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181178116111311
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:45 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 97 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 65.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 18–7 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:45What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-7 in 25
Fojt
Correct
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1481 vs Darin 1497
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 20% vs Darin 60%
Darin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 30% vs Darin 70%
Darin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +1 · Darin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.40 / Darin 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Fojt)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154185
Fojt1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 78 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Darin2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 442
Down 0–1, comes back20% 51 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt7wins
AwayDarin3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt100%5 of 5
AwayDarin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Fojt8Darin2n = 10Fojt took 8 of 10
S3Fojt7Darin3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S4Fojt2Darin4n = 6Darin took 4 of 6
S5Fojt3Darin1n = 4Fojt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtDarinF − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.3+3.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 713 vs 767 / 156748.5%49%346 / 713 vs 767 / 1567Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.40/Darin 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt49111186133K. Darin48871111112
WSep 2 · 23:00P. Fojt331111113K. Darin216690
WAug 29 · 18:00P. Fojt331111113K. Darin237790
WAug 23 · 02:00P. Fojt521271111113K. Darin4514117852
WAug 20 · 20:00P. Fojt43311117113K. Darin4611871192
LAug 16 · 22:30P. Fojt49128111172K. Darin49141167113
LAug 15 · 20:59P. Fojt377137101K. Darin45111111123
LAug 15 · 20:30P. Fojt21511411K. Darin4011711113
WJun 28 · 23:00P. Fojt331111113K. Darin174490
WJun 25 · 02:00P. Fojt341211113K. Darin1910270
P. Fojt10
WSep 19 · 22:00J. Dedek1.369880P. Fojt3.001111113LSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151LSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030
K. Darin10
WSep 20 · 24:00K. Darin1.911111113Y. Holovatiuk1.807370LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652LSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562
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