TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140644
Played Sep 17Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191214911116115
Lukas Krok
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 99 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Lukas Krok at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 29–38 Lukas Krok Kyryl Darin has won 29 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-38 in 67
Krok
Wrong
gap of 9 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1557 vs Krok 1507
Darin
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Krok 40%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 60% vs Krok 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Krok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.91 / Krok 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krok)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140644
Darin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back20% 49 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 157
Krok1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayKrok7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin40%2 of 5
AwayKrok80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Krok5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin5Krok5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin2Krok8n = 10Krok took 8 of 10
S4Darin7Krok3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S5Darin1Krok4n = 5Krok took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinKrokD − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.6−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime764 / 1564 vs 180 / 38048.9%47.4%764 / 1564 vs 180 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokDarin 1.91/Krok 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin525131211113L. Krok48111510932
LSep 11 · 18:00K. Darin4411761192L. Krok48911116113
LSep 8 · 21:30K. Darin348115101L. Krok4011611123
LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin44119311102L. Krok52911119123
WSep 5 · 18:00K. Darin4011711113L. Krok30911551
LAug 21 · 18:00K. Darin48911101442L. Krok551191212113
WAug 19 · 20:00K. Darin4211119113L. Krok32671181
LAug 18 · 20:00K. Darin3631181132L. Krok50119118113
LAug 16 · 21:30K. Darin351455111L. Krok47121111133
LAug 16 · 20:00K. Darin369121051L. Krok44111012113
K. Darin10
WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152LSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 15 · 13:00J. Bresky1.53811126113K. Darin2.38119101172LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113
L. Krok10
WSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071WSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761LSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670WSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113LSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172WSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113
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