TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140410
Played Sep 17Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121412611811––
Lukas Krok
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 20–18 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Parhomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Parhomenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1493 vs Krok 1494
Krok
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 0% vs Krok 40%
Krok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 20% vs Krok 50%
Krok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko -5 · Krok +1
Parhomenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Parhomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 1.80 / Krok 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Parhomenko)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140410
Parhomenko1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 155 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it79% 110 of 140
Krok1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParhomenko5wins
AwayKrok5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko75%3 of 4
AwayKrok66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko4Krok6n = 10Krok took 6 of 10
S2Parhomenko4Krok6n = 10Krok took 6 of 10
S3Parhomenko5Krok5n = 10split evenly
S4Parhomenko4Krok5n = 9Krok took 5 of 9
S5Parhomenko3Krok1n = 4Parhomenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricParhomenkoKrokP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.30.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime681 / 1378 vs 179 / 37849.4%47.4%681 / 1378 vs 179 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoParhomenko 1.80/Krok 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 20:30D. Parhomenko511112611113L. Krok3721411732
LJun 13 · 18:00D. Parhomenko33146941L. Krok45121111113
LJun 6 · 20:59D. Parhomenko408111291L. Krok4411814113
WJun 6 · 20:30D. Parhomenko3961111113L. Krok31116861
LMay 21 · 19:30D. Parhomenko4571211692L. Krok501110711113
WMay 20 · 20:30D. Parhomenko50118119113L. Krok3971161142
LMay 14 · 19:30D. Parhomenko2691070L. Krok341112113
WMay 2 · 20:30D. Parhomenko3711114113L. Krok34681191
LApr 18 · 21:07D. Parhomenko31831191L. Krok3811115113
WApr 18 · 18:30D. Parhomenko41531111113L. Krok4111119552
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851
L. Krok10
LSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071WSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761LSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670WSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113LSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172
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