TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139518
Played Sep 17Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611811119118118
Tomas Andrle
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 59.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 9–9 Tomas Andrle Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1494 vs Andrle 1521
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 20% vs Andrle 60%
Andrle
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 40% vs Andrle 70%
Andrle
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok -3 · Andrle -1
Krok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 2.00 / Andrle 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Andrle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139518
Krok2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Andrle1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 51 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok3wins
AwayAndrle7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAndrle leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok50%2 of 4
AwayAndrle83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S2Krok4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Krok3Andrle7n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S4Krok5Andrle2n = 7Krok took 5 of 7
S5Krok0Andrle3n = 3Andrle took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokAndrleK − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.839.9−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 377 vs 232 / 47347.2%49.1%178 / 377 vs 232 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleKrok 2.00/Andrle 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 30 · 20:30L. Krok367611121T. Andrle4111115143
LDec 10 · 22:00L. Krok194960T. Andrle321111103
WDec 10 · 20:00L. Krok43111110113T. Andrle32771261
LDec 9 · 21:30L. Krok269890T. Andrle331111113
LOct 2 · 21:30L. Krok3741181132T. Andrle50118119113
LOct 2 · 20:00L. Krok4411127682T. Andrle485101111113
WSep 4 · 20:00L. Krok4371411113T. Andrle391112881
LAug 19 · 21:00L. Krok2257100T. Andrle341111123
WAug 19 · 18:30L. Krok4412911123T. Andrle4010119101
LJun 23 · 21:00L. Krok4411891152T. Andrle50811119113
L. Krok10
LSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071WSep 15 · 18:30L. Krok2.3851111113J. Prokupek1.53119761LSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.611111113L. Krok2.209670WSep 14 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63551191L. Krok1.4411113113LSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761111113L. Krok2.10119551WSep 14 · 18:30L. Krok2.751111118113J. Dedek1.4058131172
T. Andrle10
WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102LSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852WSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191LSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133WSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962LSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113
Upcoming Matches
L. Krok
Nothing scheduled
T. Andrle
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