TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135787
Played Sep 16Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111113––––
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jan Steffan at 56.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 42–26 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 26 of their 68 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-26 in 68
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 16 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1461 vs Andrle 1524
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Andrle 80%
Andrle
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 60% vs Andrle 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -1 · Andrle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.57 / Andrle 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Steffan)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135787
Steffan1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 92 of 118
Andrle2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan50%2 of 4
AwayAndrle33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S2Steffan5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S3Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S4Steffan6Andrle4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S5Steffan4Andrle1n = 5Steffan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanAndrleS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.841.1+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 976 vs 235 / 47447.6%49.6%465 / 976 vs 235 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.57/Andrle 2.25
Miss
What we said
59.3%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 09:30J. Steffan4511118962T. Andrle48871111113
WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan47611612123T. Andrle501181110102
WAug 11 · 24:30J. Steffan4011711113T. Andrle32511791
WAug 4 · 15:00J. Steffan491061111113T. Andrle4312115692
WJul 31 · 24:30J. Steffan538101113113T. Andrle49111281172
LJul 29 · 24:30J. Steffan37119981T. Andrle3631111113
LJul 17 · 01:00J. Steffan4011111081T. Andrle4213612113
WJul 15 · 01:00J. Steffan541211911113T. Andrle4314511672
WJul 13 · 01:30J. Steffan4211911113T. Andrle30811651
LJul 7 · 21:30J. Steffan31711491T. Andrle3811511113
J. Steffan10
LSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560WSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113WSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113WSep 15 · 01:00P. Picek1.73611871J. Steffan2.0011911113LSep 14 · 23:30J. Steffan2.10711931P. Klusacek1.6711611113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880
T. Andrle10
WSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962LSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113
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