TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13143148
Played Sep 16Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111161012118115
Tomas Andrle
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 19–22 Tomas Andrle Yurii Holovatiuk has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Holovatiuk beat Andrle 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-22 in 41
Andrle
Wrong
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1500 vs Andrle 1533
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Andrle 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 70% vs Andrle 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +5 · Andrle +1
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.80 / Andrle 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13143148
Holovatiuk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 81 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Andrle1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayAndrle66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk7Andrle3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk7Andrle3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk6Andrle4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk2Andrle5n = 7Andrle took 5 of 7
S5Holovatiuk2Andrle2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukAndrleH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.937.8+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 698 vs 232 / 47250%49.2%349 / 698 vs 232 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.80/Andrle 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk53713128133T. Andrle5411111011112
LAug 10 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk4611118792T. Andrle50891111113
LJun 25 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk31871151T. Andrle3811115113
LJun 25 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk52119139102T. Andrle527111111123
WJun 9 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk331111113T. Andrle217950
LMay 11 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk358114121T. Andrle4411811143
WMar 30 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk331111113T. Andrle236890
WMar 7 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk50119613113T. Andrle47811111162
WDec 9 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk331111113T. Andrle206770
WNov 23 · 08:00Y. Holovatiuk43111110113T. Andrle29821271
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 16 · 20:00J. Steffan1.6791191182Y. Holovatiuk2.10118118113WSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262WSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113LSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171WSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071
T. Andrle10
WSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191LSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133WSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962LSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113
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