TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134149
Played Sep 16Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11961112101012116
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:36 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 15–5 Ondrej Kucirek Ondrej Kucirek has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1468 vs Kucirek 1475
Kucirek
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Kucirek 40%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Kucirek 70%
Kucirek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +2 · Kucirek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.53 / Kucirek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134149
Holovatiuk1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 81 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Kucirek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk7wins
AwayKucirek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%5 of 5
AwayKucirek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S2Holovatiuk7Kucirek3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Kucirek6n = 10Kucirek took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk3Kucirek5n = 8Kucirek took 5 of 8
S5Holovatiuk4Kucirek1n = 5Holovatiuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukKucirekH − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.3+0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 698 vs 215 / 43349.6%49.7%346 / 698 vs 215 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.53/Kucirek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk491111106113O. Kucirek4497121152
WAug 24 · 20:59Y. Holovatiuk43101111113O. Kucirek35129591
WAug 24 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk511111108113O. Kucirek4063121182
WAug 23 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk4716119113O. Kucirek431491191
WAug 13 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk51111199113O. Kucirek4497111162
LAug 11 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk217590O. Kucirek331111113
WSep 25 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk4461111163O. Kucirek391186141
LSep 22 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk3761111812O. Kucirek48117811113
LSep 11 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk168350O. Kucirek331111113
WSep 11 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk49117119113O. Kucirek4491151182
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113LSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171WSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071LSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331
O. Kucirek10
WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 15 · 03:00O. Kucirek2.75211631O. Vitrovyj1.4011611113WSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113WSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282LSep 14 · 23:00O. Kucirek2.6318110O. Vitrovyj1.441111133LSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750
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