TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135675
Played Sep 16Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161121113115––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Steffan at 58.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 27–33 Jan Steffan Ondrej Kucirek has won 27 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-33 in 60
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 6 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucirek 1465 vs Steffan 1450
Kucirek
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucirek 40% vs Steffan 20%
Kucirek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucirek 60% vs Steffan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucirek -2 · Steffan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 2.20 / Steffan 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Steffan)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135675
Kucirek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Steffan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 92 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek3wins
AwaySteffan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySteffan75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek2Steffan8n = 10Steffan took 8 of 10
S2Kucirek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Kucirek4Steffan6n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S4Kucirek4Steffan4n = 8split evenly
S5Kucirek1Steffan2n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekSteffanK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.9−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 429 vs 465 / 97749.7%47.6%213 / 429 vs 465 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanKucirek 2.20/Steffan 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 22:00O. Kucirek248880J. Steffan331111113
LAug 28 · 23:30O. Kucirek36811981J. Steffan3911611113
WAug 26 · 23:00O. Kucirek4211128113J. Steffan316101141
LAug 23 · 24:00O. Kucirek184860J. Steffan331111113
LAug 12 · 23:30O. Kucirek3911116472J. Steffan49881111113
LAug 11 · 03:30O. Kucirek4146111372J. Steffan531111911113
LAug 10 · 22:30O. Kucirek29881121J. Steffan3811115113
LAug 7 · 01:30O. Kucirek389111171J. Steffan4311138113
WAug 6 · 03:00O. Kucirek48611911113J. Steffan4211511872
WAug 6 · 24:00O. Kucirek4481111143J. Steffan381178121
O. Kucirek10
LSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262LSep 15 · 03:00O. Kucirek2.75211631O. Vitrovyj1.4011611113WSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113WSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282LSep 14 · 23:00O. Kucirek2.6318110O. Vitrovyj1.441111133LSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750
J. Steffan10
LSep 16 · 20:00J. Steffan1.6791191182Y. Holovatiuk2.10118118113LSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133LSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560WSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113WSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880
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