TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135702
Played Sep 16Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118911118811
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Steffan at 57.4%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 35–15 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 15 of their 50 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 15:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-15 in 50
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 20 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1438 vs Holovatiuk 1491
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 20% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 50% vs Holovatiuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -3 · Holovatiuk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.67 / Holovatiuk 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Steffan)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135702
Steffan1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 92 of 118
Holovatiuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 57 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan8wins
AwayHolovatiuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan100%7 of 7
AwayHolovatiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan7Holovatiuk3n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Steffan7Holovatiuk3n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S3Steffan5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Steffan4Holovatiuk2n = 6Steffan took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanHolovatiukS − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.433.4+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 978 vs 348 / 69847.6%49.9%465 / 978 vs 348 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.67/Holovatiuk 2.10
Miss
What we said
55.2%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 02:30J. Steffan2561180Y. Holovatiuk351113113
WSep 1 · 01:30J. Steffan361211133Y. Holovatiuk27106110
WAug 27 · 01:30J. Steffan45121246113Y. Holovatiuk511010111192
WAug 23 · 03:30J. Steffan4111811113Y. Holovatiuk27411931
WAug 23 · 02:30J. Steffan4211128113Y. Holovatiuk324101171
WAug 22 · 12:30J. Steffan331111113Y. Holovatiuk175660
LAug 21 · 18:00J. Steffan356101181Y. Holovatiuk4311129113
WAug 17 · 20:30J. Steffan4111118113Y. Holovatiuk34891161
WAug 12 · 22:00J. Steffan331111113Y. Holovatiuk238870
WAug 12 · 13:30J. Steffan43211811113Y. Holovatiuk4511611892
J. Steffan10
LSep 16 · 20:58O. Kucirek2.001211113J. Steffan1.7310440LSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133LSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560WSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113WSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 15 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.57131161192J. Steffan2.25158116113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262WSep 16 · 17:30T. Kolenic2.20118461Y. Holovatiuk1.6021111113WSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113LSep 16 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.3851113113Y. Holovatiuk1.531171171WSep 16 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4471111113F. Briza2.63112961LSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562LSep 15 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.006117111J. Prokupek1.7311911133WSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071LSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172
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