TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13143149
Played Sep 16Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114114––––
Jan Steffan
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4
52 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 28–33 Jan Steffan Ondrej Kucirek has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kucirek beat Steffan 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 2.00 / Steffan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Steffan)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13143149
Kucirek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Steffan1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 192
Up 2–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it78% 92 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek3wins
AwaySteffan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySteffan85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S2Kucirek5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Kucirek3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S4Kucirek4Steffan4n = 8split evenly
S5Kucirek1Steffan2n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekSteffanK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.938.7−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 431 vs 465 / 97949.7%47.5%214 / 431 vs 465 / 979Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanKucirek 2.00/Steffan 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek44111111113J. Steffan26621351
LSep 14 · 22:00O. Kucirek248880J. Steffan331111113
LAug 28 · 23:30O. Kucirek36811981J. Steffan3911611113
WAug 26 · 23:00O. Kucirek4211128113J. Steffan316101141
LAug 23 · 24:00O. Kucirek184860J. Steffan331111113
LAug 12 · 23:30O. Kucirek3911116472J. Steffan49881111113
LAug 11 · 03:30O. Kucirek4146111372J. Steffan531111911113
LAug 10 · 22:30O. Kucirek29881121J. Steffan3811115113
LAug 7 · 01:30O. Kucirek389111171J. Steffan4311138113
WAug 6 · 03:00O. Kucirek48611911113J. Steffan4211511872
O. Kucirek10
LSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262LSep 15 · 03:00O. Kucirek2.75211631O. Vitrovyj1.4011611113WSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek3.751611581O. Kucirek1.2518811113WSep 15 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.001141110113P. Klusacek1.7361151282LSep 14 · 23:00O. Kucirek2.6318110O. Vitrovyj1.441111133LSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113
J. Steffan10
LSep 16 · 20:00J. Steffan1.6791191182Y. Holovatiuk2.10118118113LSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133LSep 16 · 03:28P. Klusacek1.531311113J. Steffan2.3811560WSep 16 · 02:00V. Dolezal2.2041181192J. Steffan1.61119118113LSep 16 · 24:30J. Steffan2.3811119772P. Klusacek1.53361111113LSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113WSep 15 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.808811101J. Steffan1.9111116123WSep 15 · 03:30P. Klusacek1.99134451J. Steffan1.71111111113WSep 14 · 22:00J. Steffan1.731111113O. Kucirek2.008880
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