TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140427
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111161189111210
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 32–25 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 25 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-25 in 57
Andrle
Correct
gap of 7 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1510 vs Darin 1560
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 40% vs Darin 100%
Darin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 60% vs Darin 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle -2 · Darin +5
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 2.00 / Darin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140427
Andrle2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Darin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle4wins
AwayDarin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle80%4 of 5
AwayDarin100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Andrle5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Andrle3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Andrle4Darin4n = 8split evenly
S5Andrle2Darin2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrleDarinA − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.4−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 474 vs 763 / 156249%48.9%232 / 474 vs 763 / 1562Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinAndrle 2.00/Darin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:00T. Andrle331111113K. Darin238690
WJul 5 · 20:59T. Andrle45113911113K. Darin4791111792
LJul 5 · 18:30T. Andrle32113991K. Darin3631111113
LJul 1 · 22:00T. Andrle208660K. Darin331111113
LMay 22 · 23:30T. Andrle4471171182K. Darin51119119113
LMay 20 · 03:30T. Andrle30371191K. Darin4211119113
WMay 20 · 01:00T. Andrle55111167203K. Darin55781111182
LMay 18 · 24:00T. Andrle341011941K. Darin4312911113
WApr 25 · 01:00T. Andrle4111118113K. Darin30961141
LApr 9 · 02:00T. Andrle4587131252K. Darin5411111110113
T. Andrle10
WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113LSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852WSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191LSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan1.5778110T. Andrle2.251111133WSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962LSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113
K. Darin10
WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 15 · 13:00J. Bresky1.53811126113K. Darin2.38119101172LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113
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