TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148866
Played Sep 17Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118711118811115
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5
91 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 69–89 Dmitro Parhomenko Kyryl Darin has won 69 of their 158 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.91 / Parhomenko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Parhomenko)-5.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13148866
Darin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back20% 49 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 157
Parhomenko1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 155 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it79% 110 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayParhomenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwayParhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S3Darin3Parhomenko7n = 10Parhomenko took 7 of 10
S4Darin4Parhomenko3n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinParhomenkoD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.8−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime764 / 1564 vs 681 / 138048.9%49.4%764 / 1564 vs 681 / 1380Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoDarin 1.91/Parhomenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 07:30K. Darin32811491D. Parhomenko4011711113
LJul 22 · 06:00K. Darin46111061182D. Parhomenko51812119113
LJul 21 · 10:30K. Darin2255120D. Parhomenko361111143
LJul 20 · 24:30K. Darin36119791D. Parhomenko4291111113
WJun 30 · 06:00K. Darin4211911113D. Parhomenko31511781
LJun 29 · 02:00K. Darin279990D. Parhomenko331111113
LJun 27 · 13:00K. Darin54481118132D. Parhomenko611111816153
LJun 27 · 11:30K. Darin30811381D. Parhomenko4011711113
WJun 26 · 10:30K. Darin331111113D. Parhomenko228590
WJun 26 · 09:30K. Darin4211119113D. Parhomenko32581181
K. Darin10
WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652LSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 15 · 13:00J. Bresky1.53811126113K. Darin2.38119101172LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113LSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113LSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113
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