TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139519
Played Sep 17Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111412119711115
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 62.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 69–89 Dmitro Parhomenko Kyryl Darin has won 69 of their 158 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Parhomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-89 in 158
Parhomenko
Wrong
gap of 20 in 158, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1551 vs Parhomenko 1503
Darin
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Parhomenko 0%
Darin
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Parhomenko 20%
Darin
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +4 · Parhomenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.10 / Parhomenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Parhomenko)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139519
Darin2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 443
Down 0–1, comes back20% 49 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back6% 9 of 157
Parhomenko1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 155 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it95% 83 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it79% 110 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayParhomenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderParhomenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwayParhomenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S3Darin3Parhomenko7n = 10Parhomenko took 7 of 10
S4Darin4Parhomenko3n = 7Darin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinParhomenkoD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.8−2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1561 vs 704 / 142348.8%49.5%762 / 1561 vs 704 / 1423Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoDarin 2.10/Parhomenko 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 07:30K. Darin32811491D. Parhomenko4011711113
LJul 22 · 06:00K. Darin46111061182D. Parhomenko51812119113
LJul 21 · 10:30K. Darin2255120D. Parhomenko361111143
LJul 20 · 24:30K. Darin36119791D. Parhomenko4291111113
WJun 30 · 06:00K. Darin4211911113D. Parhomenko31511781
LJun 29 · 02:00K. Darin279990D. Parhomenko331111113
LJun 27 · 13:00K. Darin54481118132D. Parhomenko611111816153
LJun 27 · 11:30K. Darin30811381D. Parhomenko4011711113
WJun 26 · 10:30K. Darin331111113D. Parhomenko228590
WJun 26 · 09:30K. Darin4211119113D. Parhomenko32581181
K. Darin10
WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin2.00119118113Y. Holovatiuk1.7391151172LSep 15 · 13:00J. Bresky1.53811126113K. Darin2.38119101172LSep 15 · 12:30K. Darin3.0010760P. Zmuda1.361211113LSep 15 · 11:00K. Darin2.759790M. Vesely1.401111113WSep 15 · 10:00J. Bresky1.40911481K. Darin2.7511411113WSep 14 · 13:00K. Darin1.83111110113V. Pecka1.83441281WSep 14 · 12:30V. Pecka1.837780K. Darin1.831111113
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851
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