TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153934
Played Sep 20Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117113117––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 39–42 Yurii Holovatiuk Kyryl Darin has won 39 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-42 in 81
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1497 vs Holovatiuk 1495
Darin
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Holovatiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 60% vs Holovatiuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -3 · Holovatiuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.91 / Holovatiuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153934
Darin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 180 of 442
Down 0–1, comes back20% 51 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 157
Holovatiuk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 88 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayHolovatiuk7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin25%1 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Darin5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin2Holovatiuk8n = 10Holovatiuk took 8 of 10
S4Darin3Holovatiuk6n = 9Holovatiuk took 6 of 9
S5Darin3Holovatiuk2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinHolovatiukD − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.7−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime767 / 1567 vs 350 / 69849%50.1%767 / 1567 vs 350 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukDarin 1.91/Holovatiuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 21:28K. Darin4491171162Y. Holovatiuk43114116113
LSep 18 · 20:00K. Darin371278101Y. Holovatiuk44101111123
WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin511111711113Y. Holovatiuk4413911562
WSep 15 · 18:00K. Darin50119118113Y. Holovatiuk4391151172
WSep 8 · 18:30K. Darin517111111113Y. Holovatiuk4911913792
LSep 5 · 21:00K. Darin4311912472Y. Holovatiuk518111011113
LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin29316100Y. Holovatiuk411118123
LSep 5 · 03:28K. Darin320118131Y. Holovatiuk4211511153
LSep 5 · 24:00K. Darin361111591Y. Holovatiuk4313811113
LSep 4 · 14:00K. Darin381175151Y. Holovatiuk4781111173
K. Darin10
LSep 19 · 23:00P. Fojt1.40111186133K. Darin2.75871111112LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652LSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 19 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.5391111113Y. Holovatiuk2.38112291LSep 19 · 17:32J. Trefny1.6720514113Y. Holovatiuk2.0918111291LSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780WSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133WSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781WSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162WSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113WSep 18 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.2061111113D. Parhomenko1.61115951LSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562
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