TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147046
Played Sep 18Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61112109111311118
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 25–33 Tomas Andrle Kyryl Darin has won 25 of their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:38What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-33 in 58
Andrle
Wrong
gap of 8 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1512 vs Andrle 1495
Darin
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Andrle 40%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Andrle 50%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +2 · Andrle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.73 / Andrle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147046
Darin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 140
Andrle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 38 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayAndrle5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin80%4 of 5
AwayAndrle80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Darin7Andrle3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Darin5Andrle3n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S5Darin1Andrle3n = 4Andrle took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinAndrleD − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.6+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime765 / 1565 vs 234 / 47748.9%49.1%765 / 1565 vs 234 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.73/Andrle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 19:30K. Darin46116811102T. Andrle52911119123
LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin238690T. Andrle331111113
LJul 5 · 20:59K. Darin4791111792T. Andrle45113911113
WJul 5 · 18:30K. Darin3631111113T. Andrle32113991
WJul 1 · 22:00K. Darin331111113T. Andrle208660
WMay 22 · 23:30K. Darin51119119113T. Andrle4471171182
WMay 20 · 03:30K. Darin4211119113T. Andrle30371191
LMay 20 · 01:00K. Darin55781111182T. Andrle55111167203
WMay 18 · 24:00K. Darin4312911113T. Andrle341011941
LApr 25 · 01:00K. Darin30961141T. Andrle4111118113
K. Darin10
LSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162LSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.6711112932K. Darin2.10851111113WSep 17 · 20:58K. Darin1.91117118113D. Parhomenko1.8081181152WSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652LSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102WSep 17 · 18:00K. Darin2.10714117113D. Parhomenko1.67111291152WSep 15 · 21:28K. Darin1.801111711113Y. Holovatiuk1.9113911562WSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932WSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek1.539370K. Darin2.381111113
T. Andrle10
WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102LSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852WSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191LSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133
Upcoming Matches
K. Darin
T. Andrle
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