TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13160606
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Trefny
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
20185111412119––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.09
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Trefny above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 20-18
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 100 set 4, 11-9
100 points played in total.
H2H Jan Trefny 2–1 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Trefny beat Holovatiuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Trefny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrefny 1.67 / Holovatiuk 2.09
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Trefny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160606
Trefny1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 24 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Holovatiuk2.09
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTrefny2wins
AwayHolovatiuk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTrefny leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trefny2Holovatiuk1n = 3Trefny took 2 of 3
S2Trefny1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
S3Trefny2Holovatiuk1n = 3Trefny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTrefnyHolovatiukT − HBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match31.033.0−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrefnyHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 115 vs 354 / 70050.4%50.6%58 / 115 vs 354 / 700Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrefnyTrefny 1.67/Holovatiuk 2.09
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Trefny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trefny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny331111113Y. Holovatiuk227780
LSep 8 · 14:00J. Trefny94320Y. Holovatiuk331111113
WAug 3 · 12:00J. Trefny51119128113Y. Holovatiuk44511101172
J. Trefny10
WSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780WSep 19 · 15:30K. Novak2.2559111282J. Trefny1.571111910113WSep 19 · 14:00J. Trefny2.100101111113P. Budinsky1.6711129862LSep 9 · 02:58J. Trefny1.80611791R. Pavelka1.9111411113LSep 9 · 01:30J. Trefny3.5011291152R. Krejci1.28711119113WSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44111112113J. Trefny2.63761481WSep 8 · 22:30J. Trefny1.83811134113R. Pavelka1.83119111172LSep 8 · 17:30J. Plachy2.101111113J. Trefny1.678750WSep 8 · 16:30J. Trefny1.5391111113J. Plachy2.38117681
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780WSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133WSep 19 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk2.1011611113K. Novak1.67911781WSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162WSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113WSep 18 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.2061111113D. Parhomenko1.61115951WSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852WSep 16 · 20:00J. Steffan1.6791191182Y. Holovatiuk2.10118118113WSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133
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