TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153997
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611117118––
Kamil Novak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Novak to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-2
Point 59 set 4, 2-2 — our read held Kamil Novak at 56.2%
59 points drawn · the score is 15 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 14–18 Kamil Novak Yurii Holovatiuk has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-18 in 32
Novak
Wrong
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1555 vs Novak 1439
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Novak 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Novak 60%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +10 · Novak -1
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.10 / Novak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Novak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153997
Holovatiuk2.10
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Novak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk5wins
AwayNovak5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk50%3 of 6
AwayNovak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk6Novak4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk3Novak7n = 10Novak took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk5Novak5n = 10split evenly
S4Holovatiuk2Novak4n = 6Novak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukNovakH − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.0−2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 697 vs 141 / 29750.5%47.5%352 / 697 vs 141 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakHolovatiuk 2.10/Novak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk45511114143K. Novak49119611122
LAug 14 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk29115851K. Novak4291111113
LAug 14 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk258980K. Novak331111113
WAug 4 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk4211911113K. Novak34611981
WApr 10 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk341112113K. Novak2261060
LMar 18 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk173770K. Novak331111113
WMar 8 · 18:29Y. Holovatiuk331111113K. Novak218760
WMar 8 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk50891111113K. Novak4111113972
LFeb 18 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk361210591K. Novak44101211113
LFeb 18 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk381172181K. Novak5191111203
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 19 · 16:00J. Trefny1.801111113Y. Holovatiuk1.917780WSep 19 · 15:00P. Budinsky1.61415611112Y. Holovatiuk2.201113114133WSep 18 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.80114116113K. Darin1.9191171162WSep 18 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk1.67101111123K. Darin2.101278101WSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113WSep 18 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.2061111113D. Parhomenko1.61115951WSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852WSep 16 · 20:00J. Steffan1.6791191182Y. Holovatiuk2.10118118113WSep 16 · 19:00T. Andrle2.0011111011112Y. Holovatiuk1.73713128133WSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262
K. Novak10
LSep 19 · 15:30K. Novak2.2559111282J. Trefny1.571111910113LSep 11 · 21:28K. Novak1.538870L. Krok2.381111113WSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851
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