TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13154011
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811811––––
Pavel Fojt
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 71.2%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 42–18 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 18 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-18 in 60
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 24 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1490 vs Fojt 1455
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Fojt 0%
Dedek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Fojt 30%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Fojt -6
Fojt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.36 / Fojt 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Dedek)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13154011
Dedek1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 141 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it82% 108 of 132
Fojt3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 14)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 58 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek85.7%6 of 7
AwayFojt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S2Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S3Dedek4Fojt6n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S4Dedek5Fojt1n = 6Dedek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekFojtD − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.331.1+6.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 938 vs 351 / 72151.7%48.7%485 / 938 vs 351 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.36/Fojt 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek4111118113P. Fojt29671151
WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek341112113P. Fojt1851030
LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek41611111122P. Fojt39111331113
WAug 20 · 22:00J. Dedek331111113P. Fojt205690
LAug 16 · 23:30J. Dedek219660P. Fojt331111113
WAug 13 · 19:30J. Dedek341211113P. Fojt2510960
WAug 5 · 20:58J. Dedek45111211113P. Fojt304101331
WAug 5 · 20:30J. Dedek511011811113P. Fojt4212711392
LJul 30 · 18:30J. Dedek29126381P. Fojt43101111113
WJul 27 · 20:30J. Dedek44111111113P. Fojt32761361
J. Dedek10
LSep 18 · 20:58P. Budinsky1.3611117113J. Dedek3.00831161WSep 18 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91115671J. Dedek1.8071111113LSep 18 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0071131572R. Pavelka1.731131113113LSep 18 · 18:30P. Budinsky1.441111113J. Dedek2.638950WSep 16 · 17:00J. Dedek1.44121111113F. Briza2.63148751LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek1.449390Y. Holovatiuk2.631111113WSep 16 · 15:30F. Briza3.40111011882J. Dedek1.30912611113LSep 16 · 14:00J. Dedek1.83971111102T. Kolenic1.83111177123WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek1.4411911113Y. Holovatiuk2.63511331WSep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.914114101J. Dedek1.8011811123
P. Fojt10
LSep 14 · 01:30P. Fojt2.759680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.538111110113P. Fojt2.3811541232LSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151LSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752
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