TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13153921
Played Sep 18Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118114––––
Ondrej Knazik
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Ondrej Knazik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 58 set 3, 11-4
58 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 12–12 Ondrej Knazik Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Koutnik beat Knazik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Knazik form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.80 / Knazik 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koutnik)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13153921
Koutnik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 40 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it71% 29 of 41
Knazik1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 66 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik3wins
AwayKnazik7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKnazik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik50%3 of 6
AwayKnazik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik6Knazik4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S2Koutnik3Knazik7n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S3Koutnik3Knazik7n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S4Koutnik3Knazik4n = 7Knazik took 4 of 7
S5Koutnik1Knazik2n = 3Knazik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikKnazikKoutnik − KnazikBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.2−3.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 356 vs 448 / 87547.5%51.2%169 / 356 vs 448 / 875Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.80/Knazik 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 12:25V. Koutnik4312119113O. Knazik361061191
LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik25441161O. Knazik4211119113
LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik35118971O. Knazik3961111113
LAug 1 · 11:55V. Koutnik26113661O. Knazik4181111113
LJun 27 · 07:55V. Koutnik4211671172O. Knazik43611114113
WApr 3 · 18:05V. Koutnik331111113O. Knazik217860
LApr 3 · 15:25V. Koutnik225980O. Knazik331111113
LMar 27 · 12:50V. Koutnik47111111682O. Knazik50139611113
WMar 20 · 14:25V. Koutnik50119811113O. Knazik4461111972
LMar 11 · 16:20V. Koutnik247980O. Knazik331111113
V. Koutnik10
WSep 18 · 12:55P. Vodal2.38511891V. Koutnik1.5311111113WSep 18 · 12:25O. Knazik1.571061191V. Koutnik2.2512119113LSep 18 · 11:25V. Koutnik2.10712781S. Holik1.67111011113WSep 16 · 13:59V. Koutnik1.6111115113T. Rein2.20951181WSep 16 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.61118711113T. Rein2.2051111572LSep 16 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.2515118362S. Holik1.571381111113LSep 16 · 10:55V. Koutnik1.8311680F. Dvorak1.831311113WSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081WSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113WSep 12 · 12:25V. Koutnik1.401111511113C. Kratochvil2.7513811322
O. Knazik10
LSep 18 · 13:25S. Holik1.801513113O. Knazik1.91131180LSep 18 · 12:25O. Knazik1.571061191V. Koutnik2.2512119113LSep 18 · 10:55P. Vodal2.201111113O. Knazik1.616350LSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972WSep 15 · 12:20J. Osmera1.73711651O. Knazik2.0011911113WSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133LSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 14:13S. Holik1.8351191162O. Knazik1.83119118113LSep 14 · 12:55O. Knazik1.835111071J. Osmera1.8311412113LSep 14 · 11:55O. Knazik1.67117691S. Holik2.1051111113
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