TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149356
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Vodal
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113115––––
Ondrej Knazik
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:01 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Knazik to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Vodal above · Ondrej Knazik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 47 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Ondrej Knazik at 60.9%
47 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vodal 33–50 Ondrej Knazik Petr Vodal has won 33 of their 83 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Knazik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-50 in 83
Knazik
Wrong
gap of 17 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vodal 1409 vs Knazik 1549
Knazik
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vodal 40% vs Knazik 60%
Knazik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vodal 20% vs Knazik 40%
Knazik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vodal -2 · Knazik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Knazik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVodal 2.20 / Knazik 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Knazik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13149356
Vodal2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 46 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back32% 18 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Knazik1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 66 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it63% 45 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVodal5wins
AwayKnazik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVodal75%3 of 4
AwayKnazik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vodal4Knazik6n = 10Knazik took 6 of 10
S2Vodal5Knazik5n = 10split evenly
S3Vodal7Knazik3n = 10Vodal took 7 of 10
S4Vodal5Knazik3n = 8Vodal took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVodalKnazikV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.635.9+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVodalKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 496 vs 451 / 87750.8%51.4%252 / 496 vs 451 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikVodal 2.20/Knazik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vodal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 13:25P. Vodal4768111482O. Knazik491111412113
WAug 1 · 11:25P. Vodal4181111113O. Knazik33115981
WJul 10 · 14:00P. Vodal4111811113O. Knazik28911531
LJul 10 · 12:20P. Vodal26631161O. Knazik3811115113
WJul 2 · 12:55P. Vodal4011117113O. Knazik33971161
WJun 13 · 17:25P. Vodal4291111113O. Knazik32114981
LJun 9 · 14:05P. Vodal29118731O. Knazik4071111113
LJun 9 · 11:50P. Vodal4771111992O. Knazik50119811113
WMay 20 · 11:20P. Vodal331111113O. Knazik226880
LFeb 28 · 15:00P. Vodal2041060O. Knazik341112113
P. Vodal10
LSep 18 · 12:55P. Vodal2.38511891V. Koutnik1.5311111113WSep 18 · 11:55P. Vodal1.83131112113S. Holik1.8311131081LSep 13 · 18:24T. Hnizdil1.1411611113P. Vodal5.00311571LSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 15:55J. Dohnal1.839111121P. Vodal1.8311138113WSep 13 · 15:25J. Cousin1.73411771P. Vodal2.0011711113LSep 12 · 14:02V. Koutnik1.5071312113P. Vodal2.4011111081LSep 12 · 13:25P. Vodal2.1012770V. Koutnik1.671411113LSep 12 · 11:55L. Rek1.801111133P. Vodal1.9158110LSep 12 · 11:25C. Kratochvil2.3811156113P. Vodal1.539131171
O. Knazik10
LSep 18 · 12:25O. Knazik1.571061191V. Koutnik2.2512119113LSep 15 · 13:54M. Filipek2.20811711113O. Knazik1.6111711972WSep 15 · 12:20J. Osmera1.73711651O. Knazik2.0011911113WSep 15 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.503411111O. Knazik2.5011117133LSep 15 · 10:50O. Knazik1.57111111642M. Filipek2.25138911113WSep 14 · 14:13S. Holik1.8351191162O. Knazik1.83119118113LSep 14 · 12:55O. Knazik1.835111071J. Osmera1.8311412113LSep 14 · 11:55O. Knazik1.67117691S. Holik2.1051111113LSep 14 · 10:55O. Knazik2.2548100T. Hnizdil1.571111123WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113
Upcoming Matches
P. Vodal
Nothing scheduled
O. Knazik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.