TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153736
Played Sep 19Finished
Daniel Tomica
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911411116116119
Michal Cabis
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tomica above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Michal Cabis at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tomica 2–1 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tomica
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tomica 1792 vs Cabis 1846
Cabis
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tomica 80% vs Cabis 20%
Tomica
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tomica 80% vs Cabis 40%
Tomica
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tomica +4 · Cabis +1
Tomica
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tomica) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomica 1.73 / Cabis 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tomica)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153736
Tomica1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 19 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Cabis2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back29% 24 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTomica2wins
AwayCabis1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTomica leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tomica2Cabis1n = 3Tomica took 2 of 3
S2Tomica2Cabis1n = 3Tomica took 2 of 3
S3Tomica2Cabis1n = 3Tomica took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTomicaCabisT − CBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.336.30.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomicaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 183 vs 368 / 70448.6%52.3%89 / 183 vs 368 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomicaTomica 1.73/Cabis 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tomica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tomica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMar 22 · 11:30D. Tomica4075111162M. Cabis48111178113
WFeb 5 · 15:00D. Tomica3611113113M. Cabis34951191
WJan 15 · 15:00D. Tomica331111113M. Cabis279990
D. Tomica10
WSep 19 · 16:30M. Navedla2.10118991D. Tomica1.6771111113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 17:30D. Tomica2.381112119113R. Polasek1.53710131192WSep 18 · 16:30D. Tomica2.38111110113R. Polasek1.53991231WSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112LSep 18 · 14:00M. Grundel1.571011114113D. Tomica2.2512981162WSep 10 · 17:30L. Velebil1.8071191152D. Tomica1.90119119113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Grundel1.5010880D. Tomica2.501211113LSep 10 · 15:00L. Velebil1.8371112113D. Tomica1.831151071WSep 10 · 14:30D. Tomica1.671111113F. Nadymacek2.109740
M. Cabis10
LSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 14:00M. Cabis1.571111113M. Navedla2.258440LSep 14 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.851111113M. Cabis1.806330LSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101LSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551LSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113WSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113
Upcoming Matches
D. Tomica
Nothing scheduled
M. Cabis
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