Marek Dlask vs Michal Nemec 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13149194

Played Sep 17Finished

Marek Dlask

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

9119111113––––

Michal Nemec

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMarek Dlask above · Michal Nemec below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 64 set 3, 11-13

64 points played in total.

H2H Marek Dlask 27–23 Michal Nemec Michal Nemec has won 23 of their 50 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Nemec beat Dlask 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dlask)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Nemec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDlask 1.67 / Nemec 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Dlask)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13149194

Dlask1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 33 of 58

Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16

Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32

Nemec2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 80 of 230

Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 142

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 82

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDlask5wins

AwayNemec5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDlask83.3%5 of 6

AwayNemec100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dlask6Nemec4n = 10Dlask took 6 of 10

S2Dlask5Nemec5n = 10split evenly

S3Dlask4Nemec6n = 10Nemec took 6 of 10

S4Dlask2Nemec6n = 8Nemec took 6 of 8

S5Dlask3Nemec1n = 4Dlask took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDlaskNemecD − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.9−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDlaskNemecBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 306 vs 366 / 77347.1%47.4%144 / 306 vs 366 / 773Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Dlask

Dlask 1.67/Nemec 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Dlask · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Nemec won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 17 · 20:50M. Dlask49111511121M. Nemec5113177143

LSep 15 · 21:20M. Dlask4571215652M. Nemec5611101311113

LSep 15 · 19:20M. Dlask197390M. Nemec331111113

WSep 10 · 18:20M. Dlask49121169113M. Nemec46109111152

WAug 26 · 21:20M. Dlask50119811113M. Nemec4791111972

WAug 26 · 18:20M. Dlask331111113M. Nemec229850

LAug 25 · 19:50M. Dlask356111171M. Nemec4411139113

WAug 19 · 19:50M. Dlask44111129113M. Nemec4597111172

WAug 18 · 21:50M. Dlask3611113113M. Nemec32781161

LAug 18 · 20:50M. Dlask29127641M. Nemec43101111113

M. Dlask10

LSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec2.6313177143M. Dlask1.44111511121 WSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask1.501111113M. Kolbusovsky2.508260 WSep 17 · 18:20O. Sebek2.106770M. Dlask1.671111113 LSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652 LSep 15 · 20:50M. Dlask2.104640R. Zeman1.671111113 LSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390 LSep 15 · 18:50J. Mach1.571111133M. Dlask2.2536110 WSep 10 · 21:55M. Dlask1.921112113R. Zeman1.7871080 LSep 10 · 20:20M. Dlask1.579151381J. Rolik2.25111315113 WSep 10 · 19:20M. Dlask2.10114611113R. Zeman1.6781111652

M. Nemec10

WSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec2.6313177143M. Dlask1.44111511121 LSep 17 · 19:20O. Sebek3.4011101112113M. Nemec1.3081221462 WSep 17 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.25411341M. Nemec1.5711911113 WSep 15 · 21:20M. Nemec2.0011101311113M. Dlask1.7371215652 LSep 15 · 20:20M. Nemec2.63101171172J. Mach1.44129119113 WSep 15 · 19:20M. Nemec2.001111113M. Dlask1.737390 LSep 15 · 18:20M. Nemec3.0011611952R. Zeman1.36211411113 LSep 13 · 13:25M. Nemec2.109350Z. Dusek1.671111113 LSep 13 · 12:20M. Nemec2.753770R. Zeman1.401111113 WSep 13 · 11:20M. Nemec2.5091111113Z. Dusek1.50115891

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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