TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148583
Played Sep 18Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51112101187111113
Tomas Liska
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 6–6 Tomas Liska Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Liska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1650 vs Liska 1647
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 20% vs Liska 40%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 40% vs Liska 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +1 · Liska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Liska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.83 / Liska 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Liska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148583
Burylov1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Liska1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov6wins
AwayLiska4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLiska50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov2Liska8n = 10Liska took 8 of 10
S2Burylov3Liska7n = 10Liska took 7 of 10
S3Burylov4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Burylov5Liska2n = 7Burylov took 5 of 7
S5Burylov5Liska0n = 5Burylov took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovLiskaB − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.1−0.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 401 vs 401 / 86949.9%46.1%200 / 401 vs 401 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaBurylov 1.83/Liska 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:58V. Burylov32481191T. Liska4211119113
WAug 30 · 06:15V. Burylov588131111153T. Liska531111513132
LJul 11 · 18:15V. Burylov2661190T. Liska351113113
WJul 11 · 11:45V. Burylov49881111113T. Liska3911118272
WJul 5 · 07:45V. Burylov45711412113T. Liska47118111072
LJul 4 · 05:15V. Burylov279990T. Liska331111113
WMay 22 · 19:45V. Burylov3711411113T. Liska30511771
WMay 19 · 06:45V. Burylov577111213143T. Liska571191411122
LMay 9 · 07:00V. Burylov2679100T. Liska341111123
WApr 27 · 08:23V. Burylov50117911123T. Liska41311116102
V. Burylov10
WSep 18 · 12:38V. Burylov1.911571011113L. Dobias1.80131112652WSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113LSep 18 · 10:00L. Dobias1.801112143V. Burylov1.91810120LSep 12 · 12:17V. Burylov1.80116951A. Snr1.9181111113LSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113LSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133
T. Liska10
WSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123LSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341WSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960LSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861LSep 15 · 09:45J. Dolezal2.001111113T. Liska1.737890
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