TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148444
Played Sep 18Finished
Ladislav Dobias
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811511119117511
Tomas Liska
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeLadislav Dobias to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Ladislav Dobias at 65.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 14–14 Tomas Liska Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dobias
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobias 1782 vs Liska 1633
Dobias
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobias 100% vs Liska 20%
Dobias
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobias 70% vs Liska 20%
Dobias
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobias +5 · Liska -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.50 / Liska 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Dobias)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148444
Dobias1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 203 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 144 of 182
Liska2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 81 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias6wins
AwayLiska4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias83.3%5 of 6
AwayLiska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias6Liska4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S2Dobias6Liska4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S3Dobias6Liska4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Dobias4Liska5n = 9Liska took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasLiskaD − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.0+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 755 vs 400 / 86955.9%46%422 / 755 vs 400 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.50/Liska 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 05:45L. Dobias4211119113T. Liska31871151
WAug 13 · 05:45L. Dobias4011711113T. Liska36811981
WAug 12 · 06:45L. Dobias4211911113T. Liska31611771
WAug 5 · 06:45L. Dobias46711116113T. Liska4311841192
LAug 4 · 08:43L. Dobias581181513112T. Liska597111315133
LAug 4 · 06:45L. Dobias35711981T. Liska3911611113
WJul 24 · 08:18L. Dobias4011711113T. Liska37811991
LJul 24 · 07:15L. Dobias4010121081T. Liska45121012113
WJun 10 · 17:45L. Dobias361312113T. Liska28111070
LJun 4 · 05:30L. Dobias358116101T. Liska4111711123
L. Dobias10
LSep 18 · 11:30L. Svoboda2.2013114143L. Dobias1.6111911121WSep 18 · 10:00L. Dobias1.801112143V. Burylov1.91810120WSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113WSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113WSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113WSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113LSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113LSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113
T. Liska10
LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123LSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341WSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960LSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861LSep 15 · 09:45J. Dolezal2.001111113T. Liska1.737890LSep 14 · 08:23T. Liska2.107990L. Rulc1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Dobias
T. Liska
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.