TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13135135
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111210113114––
Tomas Liska
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4
69 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 3–2 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Liska beat Kocvara 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Liska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 2.50 / Liska 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Liska)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13135135
Kocvara2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 47 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back47% 21 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back24% 5 of 21
Liska1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 39 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKocvara3wins
AwayLiska2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKocvara leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocvara66.7%2 of 3
AwayLiskan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocvara3Liska2n = 5Kocvara took 3 of 5
S2Kocvara3Liska2n = 5Kocvara took 3 of 5
S3Kocvara0Liska5n = 5Liska took 5 of 5
S4Kocvara4Liska0n = 4Kocvara took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKocvaraLiskaK − LBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.437.0+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 147 vs 401 / 86856.5%46.2%83 / 147 vs 401 / 868Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaKocvara 2.50/Liska 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 15 · 11:45M. Kocvara194960T. Liska331111113
WAug 12 · 08:18M. Kocvara4014114113T. Liska311241141
WAug 12 · 07:15M. Kocvara535111412113T. Liska50117161062
LJul 12 · 19:15M. Kocvara4011281182T. Liska46911114113
WJun 28 · 05:30M. Kocvara4011117113T. Liska25661121
M. Kocvara10
LSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960WSep 15 · 10:45J. Dolezal2.10771181M. Kocvara1.6711118113LSep 15 · 09:15M. Vyskocil1.911112113M. Kocvara1.8081090LSep 13 · 20:14M. Kocvara1.73511911102M. Vyskocil2.00114115123WSep 13 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.8311101161M. Kocvara1.8311213113LSep 13 · 18:45M. Kocvara1.8310490R. Pisa1.831211113LSep 13 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.634530J. Sr1.441111113WSep 10 · 09:03R. Pisa1.8311713101M. Kocvara1.8341115123WSep 10 · 07:30M. Kocvara1.611111113J. Senk2.209260WSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291
T. Liska10
WSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960LSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861LSep 15 · 09:45J. Dolezal2.001111113T. Liska1.737890LSep 14 · 08:23T. Liska2.107990L. Rulc1.671111113WSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc1.7311510111T. Liska2.0071112133LSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113LSep 14 · 05:45T. Liska2.38871151L. Dobias1.5311119113WSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890LSep 13 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.7311119113T. Liska2.00591121WSep 13 · 09:45O. Mezera3.0071181282T. Liska1.361171110113
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