TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13146151
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711118711119
Tomas Liska
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9
90 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 49–45 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 45 of their 94 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Liska beat Makara 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.67 / Liska 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Makara)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13146151
Makara1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 41 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 29 of 41
Liska2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara6wins
AwayLiska4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara83.3%5 of 6
AwayLiska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara6Liska4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S2Makara4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Makara3Liska7n = 10Liska took 7 of 10
S4Makara6Liska1n = 7Makara took 6 of 7
S5Makara3Liska2n = 5Makara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraLiskaM − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.943.4−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 1049 vs 402 / 87247.7%46.1%500 / 1049 vs 402 / 872Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMakara 1.67/Liska 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 10:00M. Makara2461170T. Liska351113113
LAug 29 · 09:30M. Makara47313121182T. Liska561111149113
WAug 20 · 09:30M. Makara55111599113T. Liska51713111192
WAug 15 · 15:45M. Makara48125811123T. Liska491011117102
WAug 8 · 17:15M. Makara4311129113T. Liska359101151
WAug 3 · 15:45M. Makara381611113T. Liska2814770
LAug 1 · 12:54M. Makara50111371182T. Liska53815118113
WAug 1 · 09:15M. Makara523101314123T. Liska5611121112102
WJul 28 · 08:58M. Makara3811411123T. Liska388119101
LJul 28 · 08:00M. Makara248880T. Liska331111113
M. Makara10
LSep 17 · 11:45O. Kaderabek1.61611118113M. Makara2.2011691172LSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:15L. Svoboda1.5311121010113M. Makara2.38410121272LSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173WSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113WSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172LSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081LSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182
T. Liska10
LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123LSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341WSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960LSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861LSep 15 · 09:45J. Dolezal2.001111113T. Liska1.737890LSep 14 · 08:23T. Liska2.107990L. Rulc1.671111113WSep 14 · 07:15L. Rulc1.7311510111T. Liska2.0071112133LSep 14 · 06:45T. Liska2.009680M. Vyskocil1.731111113
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